Numbers Don't Lie
Audiobook

Numbers Don't Lie, by Vaclav Smil

By Vaclav Smil

★★★★☆ 4.2/5 (2 reviews)

Read by Stephen Perring

🎧 5 hours and 45 minutes 📘 Penguin 📅 1 October 2020 🌐 English

About this Audiobook

Brought to you by Penguin.

Is flying dangerous? How much do the world’s cows weigh? And what makes people happy?

From earth’s nations and inhabitants, through the fuels and foods that energize them, to the transportation and inventions of our modern world – and how all of this affects the planet itself – in Numbers Don’t Lie, Professor Vaclav Smil takes us on a fact-finding adventure, using surprising statistics and illuminating graphs to challenge lazy thinking.

Packed with ‘Well-I-never-knew-that’ information and with fascinating and unusual examples throughout, we find out how many people it took to build the Great Pyramid, that vaccination yields the best return on investment, and why electric cars aren’t as great as we think (yet). There’s a wonderful mix of science, history and wit, all in bite-sized chapters on a broad range of topics.

Urgent and essential, Numbers Don’t Lie inspires readers to interrogate what they take to be true in these significant times. Smil is on a mission to make facts matter, because after all, numbers may not lie, but which truth do they convey?

‘There is no author whose books I look forward to more than Vaclav Smil’ Bill Gates

‘The best book to read to better understand our world. Once in a while a book comes along that helps us see our planet more clearly. By showing us numbers about science, health, green technology and more, Smil’s book does just that. It should be on every bookshelf!’ Linda Yueh, author of The Great Economists

‘He is rigorously numeric, using data to illuminate every topic he writes about. The word “polymath” was invented to describe people like him’ Bill Gates

‘Important’ Mark Zuckerberg, on Energy

‘One of the world’s foremost thinkers on development history and a master of statistical analysis . . . The nerd’s nerd’ Guardian

‘There is perhaps no other academic who paints pictures with numbers like Smil’ Guardian

‘In a world of specialized intellectuals, Smil is an ambitious and astonishing polymath who swings for fences . . . They’re among the most data-heavy books you’ll find, with a remarkable way of framing basic facts’ Wired

‘He’s a slayer of bullshit’ David Keith, Gordon McKay Professor of Applied Physics & Professor of Public Policy, Harvard University

© Vaclav Smil 2020 (P) Penguin Audio 2020

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Clara’s Verdict

I came to Vaclav Smil’s Numbers Don’t Lie with the habitual scepticism I bring to popular data books – a genre with a way of flattening complexity into smug infographics while making the reader feel informed rather than actually informing them. What I found was something considerably more honest and more useful. Smil is the rare academic who writes like someone who actually wants to be understood, and his willingness to go beyond the headline figure and ask what does this number actually mean sets him apart from the trend-chasers. Bill Gates has called him his favourite author, which is either a recommendation or a warning depending on your disposition, but I think the book earns the praise on its own merits. Stephen Perring’s narration, clocking in at five hours and forty-five minutes, keeps things brisk without sacrificing rigour. The 4.2 rating from listeners reflects a book that is genuinely excellent and very occasionally overreaches.

About the Audiobook

Smil, a Czech-Canadian scientist and policy researcher, has spent decades producing data-heavy analyses of energy, food, population, and technology. Numbers Don’t Lie collects seventy-one short essays that range across the full breadth of human civilisation – from how many people it took to build the Great Pyramid to why electric cars are not yet the solution we have been sold to what vaccination yields as a return on investment per pound spent.

The book is structured in thematic clusters: people and their numbers, countries and their fates, food and energy, the environment, transport and technology. Each chapter is deliberately brief – two to three minutes in audio form – which makes this a superb listen for commutes, or for anyone who likes to absorb information in concentrated doses rather than through sustained argument. The trade-off is that individual chapters can feel like extended footnotes rather than fully developed essays, but Smil’s gift for framing ensures that almost every one lands at least one genuinely surprising insight.

The title is a provocation rather than a boast. Numbers, Smil argues, don’t lie – but they can be selected, framed, and presented in ways that mislead perfectly honestly. His mission is to give readers the tools to think more clearly about data, not merely to accumulate more of it. This is a mission that feels genuinely urgent in a media environment that has learned to weaponise statistics while pretending to defer to them.

The Narration

Stephen Perring is a reliable choice for non-fiction of this kind – authoritative without being pompous, clear without being condescending. The episodic structure of the book suits audio particularly well: each short chapter functions almost like a podcast segment, with Perring’s measured delivery providing a consistent thread through the considerable variety of subject matter. He handles the technical vocabulary confidently, which matters when you are moving between discussions of nitrogen cycles, container shipping, and demographic transitions within the same listening session.

What Readers Say

Rated 4.2 out of 5 from listeners on Audible UK, the book has attracted a thoughtful range of responses. Several reviewers describe it as essential reading for anyone who wants to understand how the modern world actually functions. A recurring note of qualification comes from listeners who found that the book’s strength – its data-grounded empiricism – occasionally curdles into overconfidence when Smil ventures further into prediction. One reviewer with an economics background called the future-facing chapters more questionable while still rating the book highly. The Guardian’s description of Smil as the nerd’s nerd is both accurate and entirely meant as a compliment, and it captures something true about the particular pleasure this book offers to readers who have always suspected that the interesting questions lie in the numbers rather than around them.

Who Should Listen?

Anyone who reads the news and wants to understand it more clearly. Anyone who has been told something is true because the numbers show it and wanted the tools to push back. Students of economics, environmental science, history, and public policy will find this a valuable companion. It is not a long or demanding listen – five hours and forty-five minutes across seventy-one chapters – which makes it genuinely accessible to listeners who would not normally tackle a work of this analytical density.

It also works well as a companion to more argumentative non-fiction. Where Hans Rosling’s Factfulness makes a sustained optimistic argument about global progress, Smil is more agnostic and more interested in accuracy than in a thesis. The two sit well together in the same month of listening, and together they make a stronger case for data literacy than either does alone. Find it on Audible UK and give yourself something to think about on your next commute.

Listeners on Scribd and Storytel will also find it an excellent companion to a news-heavy month, providing the statistical literacy that helps separate genuine insight from well-packaged noise.

Listen to Numbers Don’t Lie on Audible UK

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What listeners say

★★★★★

Excellent on data, questionable on extrapolations

This is a fantastic overview of data in a widely ranging areas of the world. Mostly topics are important areas and Smil does not shy away from some technical detail (many other overview books may omit good discussions on devices and manufacturing). I think the strength of the book and…

– Amazon Customer
★★★★☆

Good for those interested in how the world works

Short terms on lots of different topics and stats, and some real insights. Quite simply a must read for those who like to understand the world we live in. Think of it as a more descriptive and accessible version of the Economists' world in figures book. Another great book by…

– Sam Allen
★★★★★

Interesting choice of items

As ever Vaclav Smil provides accurate and detailed analysis to give clear insights into numbers that matter. Great choice of subject matter and fascinating short reviews of the subjects

– ngbpne
★★★☆☆

Interesting Read, Easy To Digest

An easy read from one of Bill Gate's favourite authors. With each chapter only 2-3 pages long, it's a good book to pick up and get up to speed on different topics. Some commentators mentioned that the chapters seem to jump from random topic to another without much connections and…

– IrishBookWorm
★★★★☆

Lots of bite-sized food for thought

Really informative short pieces about matters of general interest, and many of the key issues faced by society today. Well-written, clear and fascinating.

– A lawyer of sorts

Frequently asked questions

How long is the Numbers Don’t Lie audiobook?

The unabridged audiobook runs for 5 hours and 45 minutes.

Who narrates Numbers Don’t Lie?

This audiobook is narrated by Stephen Perring.

Can I listen to Numbers Don’t Lie for free?

Yes: new Audible UK members get a 30-day free trial with 1 credit, enough for this audiobook whatever its retail price. Our free audiobooks guide lists every other legal option.

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Clara Whitmore

By Clara Whitmore

Founder & Literary Critic